ANGEL BROKING RECOMMENDATIONS FOR 4/2016.
In line with our expectations the RBI has reduced the repo
rate by 25bp to 6.5% in its first bi-monthly policy review of this fiscal and
addressed the liquidity shortage witnessed by the bank. We believe that RBI has
further room for rate cuts in the quarters to come. Lower interest rates will
come as a relief for both consumers and corporates. Interest rate sensitive
sectors like auto, banks, housing finance companies and select players in the
infrastructures and real-estate space could see improvement in volumes. Our
top-picks in these sectors are LIC Housing Finance, Dewan Housing Finance,
Mahindra Lifespace, and IL&FS Transportation Networks. Further we remain
positive on consumption based stocks like Blue Star, Radico Khaitan, Siyaram
Silk Mills, etc.
LIC HOUSING FINANCE.
LIC Housing Finance n
Significant under penetration of mortgages in India: India is expected to
witness a robust housing finance growth going forward as the mortgage
penetration in India remains at very low levels at 9% to GDP as compared to the
developed countries where it is in the range of 60-100%. n NIM expansion visible:
LIC Housing Finance is able to raise funds from lowcost NCDs due to its strong
AAA credit rating and backing by strong promoters like LIC. In a declining
interest rate environment, NBFC's like LIC Housing are well-placed to witness
margin improvement in our view. n
Outlook: For companies like LICHF, the funding environment has eased; thus it
will lead to lower cost of borrowing, while outlook for growth in retail housing
loans remains positive, going forward. We expect the company to post a healthy
loan book CAGR of 18.7% over FY2015-17E, which is likely to reflect in an
earnings CAGR of 21.0%, over the same period. The stock currently trades at
2.3x FY2017E ABV. We maintain our Buy rating on the stock, with a target price
of `592. Key Financials Y/E Op. Inc NIM PAT EPS ABV ROA
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