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LORD JESUS CHRIST SAYS

So do not worry, saying, ‘What shall we eat?’ or ‘What shall we drink?’ or ‘What shall we wear?’ For the pagans run after all these things, and your heavenly Father knows that you need them. But seek first his kingdom and his righteousness, and all these things will be given to you as well. Therefore do not worry about tomorrow, for tomorrow will worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own.

12 May 2019

STOCK MARKET--WHY DON:T YOU INVEST IN CONFIDENCE PETROLIUM IMDIA LIMITTED--A PROMISIING COMPANY.



• Established track record of operations and experienced management Incorporated in the year 1994, Confidence Petroleum India Ltd. (hssereafter referred as CPIL) is the flagship company promoted by Mr. Nitin Poonamchand Khara. The operations of the company are spread all over India with a total of 15-cylinder manufacturing units, 58 bottling plants, 4 LPG blending plants and 140 ALDS stations at group level. The directors of the company Mr. Sumant Jayantilal Sutaria, Mr. Nitin Punamchand Khara, Mr. Elesh Punamchand Khara, Mr. Supratim Subimal Basu, Mr. Vaibhav Pradeep Dedhia and Ms. Mansi Manoj Deogirkar have over three decades of experience in the manufacturing of LPG cylinders and other products. Due the to the company's established track record of operations and management experience the company has booked the revenue of Rs. 606.74 crore in FY2018 as compared to 496.90 crore in FY2017 and 354.69 crore in FY2016. Further the company has booked revenue of Rs. 718.47 crore as on 31 December 2018. CPIL is expected to continue to leverage its well established relationships with reputed clients and suppliers. Acuité believes that CPIL will continue to benefit from its established track record of operations and experienced management and their long relationship with reputed customers and suppliers. • Established relationship with customers and suppliers The company has established presence in the industry, CPIL has been able to build healthy client profile spanning both private as well as government agencies. The company caters to various reputed customers in the energy and oil Industry namely Indian Oil Corporation Limited, Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited, LPG Infrastructure Private Acuité Ratings& Research Limited (erstwhile SMERA Ratings Limited) www.acuite.in Limited among others. CPIL also has healthy relations of over decades with the various reputed raw material suppliers such as Steel Authority of India Limited, Tata Steels, Essar, Hindustan Aegis LPG limited, Reliance Industries Limited among others. •
Healthy financial risk profile CPIL has healthy financial risk profile marked by healthy tangible net worth, low gearing and healthy debt protection measures. The tangible networth of the company stands at Rs.260.55 crore as on 31 March, 2018 as against Rs.188.45 crore as on 31 March, 2017. The gearing stood at 0.31 times as on 31 March, 2018 as against 0.60 times as on 31 March, 2017. Total outside Liabilities/Tangible Net Worth (TOL/TNW) however, stood at 0.78 times as on 31 March, 2018 as against 1.11 times as on 31 March, 2017. The Interest Coverage Ratio (ICR) stood at 6.14 times for FY2018 as against 3.60 times for FY2017. Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) stood at 5.10 times in FY2018 as against 3.06 times in FY2017. Net Cash Accruals/Total Debt (NCA/TD) stood at 0.63 times as on 31 March, 2018 as against 0.26 times as on 31 March, 2017. Going forward, Acuité expects the financial risk profile to remain stable in the absence of major debt funded capex plans backed by moderate cash accruals. Weaknesses • Exposure to risks inherent in tender-based business CPIL manufactures LPG cylinders and bottling of LPG for IOCL, BPCL, and HPCL, which account for almost ~45-50 per cent of its revenue. The company gets orders through tenders and operates in a highly fragmented industry, which limits its bargaining power, and may impact its profitability. • Competition from other gas players and Sustainability of margins The company is exposed to regulatory risks associated with tariff rates and changes in government policies for gas. The company faces intense competition from other gas filling companies and gas pipe line companies. With increase in usage of gas pipeline in urban area, the company faces intense competition from the same. Further, the company is exposed to sustainability of margins as the total raw material comprises of around 70 per cent of total sale. The prices of gases are volatile in nature and the company's ability to pass on the incremental prices to its customers will remain the key rating sensitivity factor. Liquidity Position: The company has adequate liquidity marked by healthy net cash accruals to its maturing debt obligations. The group generated cash accruals of Rs.24.24 crore to Rs.51.07 crore during the last three years through 2017-18, while its maturing debt obligations were in the range of Rs.0.50-1.50 crore over the same period. The cash accruals of the company are estimated to remain around Rs.60 - 65 crore during 2019-21 while its repayment obligation are estimated to be around Rs. 2.00 Crore. The company’s operations are moderately working capital intensive as marked by gross current asset (GCA) days of 93 in FY 2018. The cash credit limit in the company remains utilized at 90 percent during the last 12 months period ended December 2018. The group maintains cash and bank balances of Rs.9.20 crore as on March 31, 2018. The current ratio of the company stand healthy at 1.55 times as on March 31, 2018. The company is likely to incur capex of Rs.250 - 300 crore over the medium which is likely to be funded by issuance of warrant, preferential allotment and internal accruals. Acuite believes that the liquidity of the company is likely to remain adequate over the medium term on account of healthy cash accrual and no major repayments over the medium term. Outlook: Stable Acuité believes that the outlook on CPIL's rated facilities will remain stable over the medium term on account of its promoter's extensive experience in the industry and healthy relation with reputed customers. The outlook may be revised to 'Positive' if the company registers higher than expected growth in revenue while maintaining the profitability and comfortable liquidity position. Conversely, the outlook may be revised to 'Negative' in case of significant decline in cash accruals or stretched working capital cycle resulting in deterioration of its financial risk profile. Acuité Ratings& Research Limited (erstwhile SMERA Ratings Limited) www.acuite.in About the Rated Entity - Key Financials Unit FY18 (Actual) FY17 (Actual

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